Tom Shugart
Defense analyst, former submariner, pilot. @cnasdc Adjunct Senior Fellow. Founder, Archer Strategic Consulting. Opinions my own. RT=/=endorsement.
عرض في 𝕏سلاسل التغريدات
This week saw the release of the 2023 China Military Power Report (CMPR). For those not familiar, this is DoD’s congressionally-mandated unclassified update on the Chinese military...
Folks are about to find out all about China's 3rd navy - the "Maritime Safety Administration". For those who wondered why China built 10,000-ton, cruiser-size "maritime safety" shi...
Let’s talk about airbase hardening and dispersal, shall we? Some of you may have seen a recent story about the USAF pulling some of its F-15 fighters out of Kadena AFB in Okinawa,...
3-ish years ago, I put up this thread on the growth of the Chinese PLA Navy, calculating the total tonnage of warships launched during a 5-year period & comparing it to the numbers...
One angle of today's Su-27/Reaper drone collision: the US-Soviet INCSEA agreement, which theoretically remains in force today, calls for aircraft commanders to "use the greatest ca...
“The islands are “giant information sponges out there providing a much, much better targeting picture of the area than China would have if those bases weren’t there,” said Thomas S...
Andrew Bacevich, co-founder of @QuincyInst, recently published this article in @ForeignAffairs that, unsurprisingly, argues for significantly reduced US military power, and a parin...
@DerekJGrossman *no* credible evidence? https://t.co/6RNBWWdh0U
In this article, @NorthwesternU professor Stephen Eiseman mischaracterizes a statement of mine regarding this potential number of personnel on China's Big Three Spratly island base...
Why is the media ignoring the Hersh NordStream story? Because it's compete nonsense. For example, how about the single sentence, "The Navy proposed using a newly commissioned subma...
A few days ago, I provided some thoughts on @CSIS’s wargaming of a PRC invasion of Taiwan. My assessment covered the game’s setup, assumptions, and key takeaways, and at the end I...
Now that Balloongate has died down, a few thoughts on @CSIS’s recent Taiwan wargaming report. There was a fair bit of discussion of this a few weeks ago, but it’s taken me some tim...