16 تغريدة 110 قراءة May 12, 2023
Map of the military situation in Khartoum as of 12th May 2023. Green = SAF, Red = RSF. The stars represent bases of each side.
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Al-Halfaya has quieted down for now, and it's become clear the SAF has pulled back after yesterday's RSF attacks. This has been reported by 2 people who live there personally, and one of them says is to prevent civilian deaths.
Heavy fighting will very likely continue today, and SAF could try to retake the town.
There was also fighting reported at the Al-Mohandiseen Military Base yesterday, likely an RSF attack. It was repelled successfully.
My overall analysis currently is that after last week's fighting the SAF were in very strong initiative and had a good grip on the situation, then since they couldn't take the Presidential Palace directly tried to cut the supply lines to it by taking Shambat bridge,
however not only failed at capturing it but were pushed back considerable lengths from it. I don't think the situation is over though, as fighting is still currently ongoing. These updates are just snapshots of a continuously evolving conflict.
Note: It seems again that the SAF airpower doesn't appear to have an overwhelming effect on combat. Citizens in Al-Halfaya reported airstrikes the entire day and night, but the RSF still managed to take the town.
About Facebook: I've decided I will make one to post updates but won't use it to gather information. I think it makes most sense for the Facebook to be in Arabic, and I would need someone to translate the updates into Arabic. If you're interested in helping please DM🙏
Update:
Update on Al-Halfaya: Today there was a video showing a citizen driving over the bridge with no RSF in sight, and now there is fighting reported from this direction again. What I said yesterday is likely still true, the bridge keeps changing hands.
It was reported to me by someone living in this area that the RSF use this open space as a graveyard.
2 RSF checkpoints in East Nile were reported to me at (15.591127,32.631092). The RSF soldiers in the area reportedly frequent a local bakery at (15.599574,32.610441) according to eye witnesses.
Adjustments: After some reports from people in this area, I think the situation looks roughly like this. It's a very quiet area with not much fighting. I'm very thankful for all the people wanting to help, it makes it much easier to give accurate updates🙏
I've made a few additional adjustments
Adjustments: 2 people in the South of Khartoum have helped me clarify the situation. RSF holds the airbase at Jebel Aulia (1), however SAF control the rest of the town and the crucial Eastern side of the Jebel Aulia Dam, denying RSF the ability to use it to supply it's troops.
RSF then controls the Taiba Camp Base (3), and SAF checkpoints begin again around Al-Hilla (4).

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