Map of the military situation in Khartoum as of 10th May 2023. Green = SAF, Red = RSF. The stars represent bases of each side.
#KeepEyesOnSudan #جيش_واحد_شعب_واحد #الخرطوم #السودان
#KeepEyesOnSudan #جيش_واحد_شعب_واحد #الخرطوم #السودان
Before you view the map:
Today SAF undertook a major operation towards taking control of the Presidential Palace by attempting to cut the RSF supply line (1) going over Shambat bridge (2) to the Palace (3). Fighting was reported in the direction of the bridge on both sides of the nile.
The SAF plan was to advance South on Omdurman Nile St. (4) at the same time as advancing South on Al Inqaz St. (5), with a supporting attack NW from Kobar (6). This offensive on multiple axis in combination with airstrikes was likely intended to overwhelm the RSF
After talking to multiple people in Shambat and assessing 4-5 videos geolocated by @HaythamHamid (locations shown here with the turquois symbols), I came to the conclusion that the attack gained small areas but did not succeed in reaching Shambat bridge.
However I think the territory gained and the reports of RSF soldiers retreating could set a good base for a second offensive in the area. The war will definetly not end soon, but as of now SAF is in a stronger position than RSF
Someone in the South of Khartoum has clarified the tactical situation and I've adjusted the areas of control based on their statements (7). In this region, RSF is attacking regularly towards the Jabel Awliya Highway (8&9), which is the main SAF supply line into Khartoum
According to an employee at the Khartoum International Airport, the SAF have likely gained control of parts of the runway (10) based on an investigation by the airport director.
Another RSF base in Arkaweet has been reported to me at 15.541312,32.581261
(11) Someone who travelled from Khartoum to Wad Madani has clarified when RSF control stops and SAF control begins past Soba. It should be noted for people travelling this road that the last RSF checkpoint is at 15.513251,32.693059, and the first SAF point at 15.453569,32.727653
Note: The reason RSF steals so many civilian vehicles to use for supply is likely because they expected a quick victory in the coup attempt and didn't make any plans for supplying troops for extended periods of time.
They've also been noted to cover vehicles in mud after removing their license plates, firstly because it makes it harder for the original owner to identify it, and secondly because the mud acts as camouflage against jets.
Important update: RSF has posted a video geolocated to Al-Halfaya Bridge (15.713840, 32.544292). However based on the location of the sun we can actually tell that in the video it's 11:30-12:30, which means it's likely (60%) that RSF only held this position temporarily
Update: A second video has been geolocated (15.7182731, 32.5173446 after the cut), showing SAF with captured RSF vehicles first on the Eastern side of Al-Halfaya Bridge, and then driving on the Western side of the bridge in high moral. The shadows indicate this one is past noon.
Conclusion: I think my initial assessment of RSF only controlling the bridge temporarily was correct, and they don't currently control it. However, this is still only with 60% certainty. I'm awaiting further information.
Someone in this area has just messaged me, he will report in the morning who's in control. Until then I need to sleep, I'll make an update with what he says before work.
Update: Control seems very unclear. The purple area was airstriked all night, and the red area is currently seeing a lot of heavy shooting. It's possible heavy fighting in Khartoum North will continue today.
Update: A citizen who just drove over Al-Halfaya bridge reports it's still SAF controlled, I believe RSF either held it shortly but was then pushed out again at noon yesterday, or it was just a small patrol that drove there to record videos for propaganda.
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