“What will you be, 2023? The birth of a new world order” by Sergey Glazyev published January 17, 2023
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“I offer my forecast of political and economic dynamics for the new year. It is a combination of stable and unstable trends, as well as uncertain trajectories, which are described by likely scenarios for the implementation of a particular economic policy.” — Glazyev
“It has a steady trend of further outstripping development of 🇨🇳 🇮🇳 which form the core of the new world economic order & an unstable one, namely, the growing turbulence of opposing trends in the core countries of the outgoing world economic order (aggressive US & agonizing EU).”
“These forecasts, diagnostics of threats and proposals for their relief were published in the book ‘The Last World War: The US to Move and Lose’ (2016)” — Glazyev
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glazev.ru
“According to this theory, the peak of the world hybrid war, including the escalation of US aggression against Russia, is expected in 2024, as Vladimir Putin foresaw more than a decade ago.” — Glazyev
“After that, there should be a qualitative change in the change of world economic structures, expressed in the decline of Pax Americana and the transition of world leadership to the core countries of the new world economic order - China and India.” — Glazyev
“This transition will take place regardless of the outcome of events in Ukraine, but the further position of Russia depends on these events. By the beginning of this year, the strategies of all the main participants in the world hybrid war were determined.” — Glazyev
“The US and Britain that unleashed it are acting in full accordance with the archaic Mackinder-Brzezinski doctrine in the spirit of the old Anglo-Saxon geopolitics. In general, the essence of their strategy is to crush Russia, destroy Iran, and isolate China.” — Glazyev
“China’s strategy is to ensure economic security by achieving technological sovereignty, financial and economic self-sufficiency, advancing economic development and improving the living standards of the population...” — Glazyev
“...strengthening social solidarity, accumulating reserves, creating a favorable broad economic periphery based on the implementation of the One Belt, One Road project.” — Glazyev
“In terms of international relations, the PRC implements the doctrine of uniting the peoples of the common destiny of mankind on the basis of mutual benefit by combining competitive advantages...” — Glazyev
“...through joint investment, respect for national sovereignty, respect for international law, equality of arms, honesty and transparency in negotiations, and justice.” — Glazyev
“India’s strategy is characterized by waiting. Like China, India benefits greatly from US aggression against Russia. The forced nature of Russia’s turn to the East allows our Asian neighbors to largely dictate the terms of cooperation...” — Glazyev
“Avoiding confrontation with anyone and trying to build even favorable relations with all countries, India becomes a natural center of attraction for all conflicting parties seeking to win her over to their side.” — Glazyev
“A similar strategy is typical for the countries of the Middle East... strengthening their economic security, getting rid of the rigid external dependence on the US and Britain, and preparing in advance for the transition to the new world economic order.” — Glazyev
“After the re-election of Lula as President of Brazil, we can expect that country to acquire its own development strategy... the main meaning of state activity is the unification of various social groups around the common goal of improving the people’s well-being.” — Glazyev
“Lula’s program fits the bill perfectly, and if he succeeds in wresting the Central Bank from the clutches of the IMF & forcing it to pursue a policy of lending to investment growth & sustaining maximum economic activity, Brazil could become the 3rd member of the core.” — Glazyev
“Of the group of leading countries of the world, only Russia and Germany do not have a strategy. The leadership of the latter went along with Washington, with catastrophic economic consequences for their country.” — Glazyev
“Germany’s plunge into the stagflation trap is destroying pan-European well-being & dragging other EU states down. He takes on all the hardships of another war in Europe imposed by Washington & London, giving his Anglo-Saxon ‘partners’ the opportunity to extract super profits.”
“In fact, the policy of the European political elite runs counter to the interests of the peoples of Europe and pursues only the goals of Washington and London.” — Glazyev
“They managed, thanks to their control of the media and agents of influence in the power structures of the EU, to put him in the position of pulling chestnuts from the fire for Uncle Sam. This policy of self-destruction of Europe has no limits:” — Glazyev
“The United States and London, as always, make good money on the war in Europe, from which, on the one hand, capital and brains are squeezed out, and on the other hand, they use the European peoples as cannon fodder and a source of resources in the war against Russia.” — Glazyev
“So, the whole uncertainty of the coming year lies in the lack of strategy in Russia. Our leadership tried to seize the strategic initiative from the United States by accepting the LDNR, Zaporozhye, and Kherson regions as part of the Russian Federation.” — Glazyev
“But it is impossible to keep it without a clear ultimate goal, a clear ideology, and a full-scale mobilization of resources to win the hybrid war with the collective West.” — Glazyev
“The delay in the SMO fully fits into the strategy of Washington and London, which are intensifying with every day of the war at the expense of the EU. Their puppets in the EU leadership demand a war to defeat Russia, regardless of the negative consequences for Europe.” — Glazyev
“The calculation of the American-British intelligence services to wear down the forces of the Russian people in this fratricidal conflict is confirmed with each passing day of its continuation.” — Glazyev
“Worse, the reports of our Ministry of Defense were reduced to stating the number of Ukrainian servicemen killed, which allows the enemy to interpret the goals of the SMO in this vein.” — Glazyev
“The transition to a long trench war, like the infamous Verdun meat grinder, which claimed the lives of a million French and Germans in the First World War, is fraught with disaster for the Russian world.” — Glazyev
“The speedy victorious completion of the SMO is critical to ensuring political stability in Russia.” — Glazyev
“The prolongation of hostilities until next year creates the prerequisites for a political crisis in Russia, which the enemy is preparing in order to organize a revolution during the upcoming presidential election campaign in 2024.” — Glazyev
“No matter how the vote turns out, the enemy will make every effort to delegitimize its results and to provoke acts of civil and armed disobedience. We will not consider this scenario, considering it in principle unacceptable for Russian statehood.” — Glazyev
“Let’s focus on the minimum necessary conditions for winning this year. The first condition is the mobilization of all available resources to provide the army and the population with everything necessary.” — Glazyev
“The second condition is the mobilization of human and intellectual potential. The public consciousness, weakened by the virus of consumerism, turned out to be unprepared for the SMO.” — Glazyev
“In response to the mobilization, tens (and according to some estimates, hundreds) of thousands of young highly qualified specialists fled the country. Abroad, they are subjected to psychological pressure and indoctrination by the enemy.” — Glazyev
“This is not just a big loss of human capital, but in large part - its transfer to the enemy. What part of our IT specialists who left for unfriendly countries work in the interests of the Pentagon and the Armed Forces of Ukraine?” — Glazyev
“And how many of the young people who left the country without a penny will be recruited by the CIA and MI6 to be used as cannon fodder for the revolution they are preparing in Russia? The question is not rhetorical.” — Glazyev
“In order to win the trust of society, decisive actions are needed to cleanse the authorities of corrupt and incompetent elements, through whose fault we are losing resources and people every day.” — Glazyev
“Finally, like air, the necessary ideology that unites society. The ruling elite must, first of all, apply the traditional values approved by the presidential decree to themselves.” — Glazyev
“The process of cleansing the Russian ruling elite according to the criterion of patriotism has gone in full swing. To consolidate society, other criteria must also be launched, based on our eternal values of truth and justice.” — Glazyev
“The third condition is the introduction of a mechanism of responsibility for the results of the work of all managers & authorities. Without this, it is impossible to eliminate the management dysfunctions generated by corruption & incompetence among the leading cadres.” — Glazyev
“The above three necessary conditions for achieving victory are sufficient. The rest will develop by themselves thanks to folk art and patriotic upsurge, if these are achieved.” — Glazyev
“If the most decisive measures are not taken to implement them, then the situation will go according to the negative scenario mentioned above.” — Glazyev
“One should not be deluded by the thesis that the United States will lose the world war they have unleashed, regardless of the outcome of the Ukrainian catastrophe.” — Glazyev
“The American system of governance fell victim to the greed of the financial oligarchy, which subordinated the issue of money and the financial market to its interests, and made the economy a graveyard of financial bubbles.” — Glazyev
“This management system has lost its effectiveness, it does not ensure the growth of the people’s well-being and gives rise to an aggravation of social contradictions up to the war of all against all.” — Glazyev
“But at the same time, the American power and financial elite seriously believes that the collapse of Russia and the war in Europe will allow it to gain a third wind and maintain global hegemony.” — Glazyev
“She seeks to repeat her success in the collapse of the Russian Empire and USSR, which gave her the opportunity to exploit our resources for a certain time. That is why it is so aggressive: in the crushing of Russia, it sees the only way to maintain world domination.” — Glazyev
“In fact, the process of self-destruction of the American-centric financial and economic system has nothing to do with the Ukrainian events.” — Glazyev
“Galloping inflation was the result of the overflow of trillions of dollars issued by the Fed and their quadrillion-dollar derivatives accumulated by financial bubbles into the commodity market.” — Glazyev
“Although the sharp rise in energy prices was provoked by anti-Russian sanctions, it became nothing more than a trigger for the collapse of financial bubbles previously inflated by the quantitative easing policy.” — Glazyev
“Even if the US and its satellites confiscate a trillion dollars of Russian public and private money, this will not save their financial system from collapse. They only brought it closer by arresting Russian reserves.” — Glazyev
“In the Russophobic fervor, they ‘shot themselves in the foot’, in fact, depriving the dollar, and at the same time the pound with the euro, of the status of world currencies.” — Glazyev
“All more or less sovereign countries have stopped accumulating reserves in dollars and are rapidly switching to settlements in national currencies.” — Glazyev
“This entails an avalanche-like collapse of the US’s ability to finance a world war, which is based on a monopoly on the issuance of world currency. Trillions of previously printed dollars are returning to the US, causing a massive wave of inflation.” — Glazyev
“And the actual refusal of external creditors to buy US Treasury bonds entails their imminent bankruptcy or hyperinflation due to the collapse of the US debt pyramid scheme.” — Glazyev
“Nevertheless, the hope that crushing Russia in the war in Ukraine will help maintain world hegemony feeds the Russophobic aggressiveness of the American ruling elite, and we cannot wait for it to weaken.” — Glazyev
“The negative scenario of the restoration of American control over our country, by analogy with the Yeltsin period, will deprive us of the opportunity to enter the core of the new world economic order and enter the trajectory of advanced development.” — Glazyev
“We will remain on the periphery of the two centers of the world economy, which will fight among themselves for control of our resources. Until the end of this century, we will vegetate as a financial donor of the West and a raw materials appendage of the East.” — Glazyev
“Whether it will be possible to preserve the sovereignty & integrity of the country is a rhetorical question. Therefore, the victorious completion of the SMO is a matter of survival for our country & the Russian world. What needs to be done for this is briefly described above.”
“The book already mentioned above substantiated the proposal to create a broad international coalition of countries not interested in a global hybrid war.” — Glazyev
“It was proposed to be based on two fundamental agreements: on the creation of a new international accounting currency instead of the current IMF reserve currencies and on cybersecurity.” — Glazyev
“The first agreement would lead to the collapse of the American-centric financial system and would deprive the United States of the main source of superpower - the monopoly on the issuance of world money.” — Glazyev
“The second agreement would eliminate the US monopoly in the advanced information technology market, which is also a source of superpower in the technological field and the information space.” — Glazyev
“Unfortunately, instead of solving this difficult task, we fell for another Western ploy in the form of the Minsk agreements, giving the enemy the opportunity to create a springboard in Ukraine to attack against Russia.” — Glazyev
“In the current conditions, the formation of such a coalition is possible, again, only after the victorious completion of the SMO.” — Glazyev
“In conclusion, a few remarks about the strategies of the EU, India, and Iran. If the fate of the latter depends to a decisive extent on the outcome of the SMO, then the rest retain a greater freedom of maneuver.” — Glazyev
“Iran becomes an obvious victim of the US if its strategy to crush Russia succeeds. In this case, China is unlikely to be able to protect its main partner in the Middle East.” — Glazyev
“Iran has a good opportunity to make a decisive contribution to the outcome of the global hybrid war by closing the Strait of Hormuz. In this case, the countries of the collective West will face an acute shortage of oil, the prices of which will skyrocket.” — Glazyev
“The crisis in the EU will develop into an economic disaster and, most likely, will entail a change in political leadership to a more pragmatic one, capable of making a decision to end the suicidal war against Russia.” — Glazyev
“This would be a worthy response to the undermining of the German-Russian gas pipelines, committed by the Anglo-American intelligence services. But it is unlikely that Iran will dare to do it on its own.” — Glazyev
“European leaders are rapidly losing popularity. They still have considerable opportunities to manipulate public opinion, but in the brain of a well-fed European layman in a dispute between a TV and a refrigerator, the latter will undoubtedly win.” — Glazy
“With a high probability, the new electoral cycle will entail the renewal of the European political elite. The victorious completion of the SMO increases this probability many times over.” — Glazyev
“The West will fight for India. Drawing India into a coalition with NATO through alliances with Australia and Japan against China has already become the main vector of American strategy in the region.” — Glazyev
“In front of the Indian elite, the Anglo-Saxons will perform ritual dances led by Indian leaders from the US and Britain. India will be given any preferences in trade, investment, technology - as long as it agrees to stand in the wake of American geopolitics.” — Glazyev
“By playing out the confrontation of India with Pakistan and the PRC, which they themselves created, the Americans and the British can strangle the Indians in their arms.” — Glazyev
“It is unlikely, however, that Delhi will agree to play the role of a junior partner, and the Anglo-Saxons are not able to negotiate on an equal footing and do not want to yet.” — Glazyev
“This scenario can be shielded by the early creation of the above-mentioned coalition of countries that are not interested in continuing the global hybrid war.” — Glazyev
“Since we have allowed ourselves to be drawn into its acute phase, we have to wait for the victorious completion of the SMO. This task has become really key. To solve it, the above conditions must be met.” — Glazyev
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